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Home Marketing B2B Marketing

Ad agencies feel weight of tech downturn as hopes turn to AI

July 24, 2023
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  • Three of the most important ad-holding groups reported earnings last week, presenting a mixed bag for the category amid enduring macroeconomic uncertainty. 
  • Interpublic Group of Companies (IPG) saw organic net revenue decline 1.7% year-over-year and cut its full-year growth forecast to 1% to 2% from a previous 2% to 4% projection. Omnicom’s organic revenue was up 3.4% YoY in probably the most recent period and 4.3% in H1. Publicis had the strongest showing, with organic revenue climbing 7.1% YoY in Q2.
  • Along with contending with weak demand from some client verticals, agencies are actually under pressure to stay competitive within the emergent field of generative artificial intelligence (AI), though many are bullish on the tech as a change bet. 

After proving resilient through some of the bumpiest parts of the pandemic, agencies are showing more vulnerabilities as the macroeconomic picture stays cloudy. Tech and telecommunications corporations, which have received a thrashing over the past yr, continued to clamp down on ad spending in Q2, sending ripple effects into the agency space which have undercut revenue. 

Weaker demand from tech was felt particularly sharply at IPG, as the vertical makes up a hefty portion of its client base. CEO Philippe Krakowsky stated headwinds from the category weighed “significantly” on growth in Q2, while broader uncertainty also affected more traditional consumer agencies. IPG reported strength in its healthcare and media offerings, as well as public relations and experiential, but still cut its full-year guidance, sending shares tumbling late last week. The firm earlier this yr made layoffs at digital specialist shops Huge and R/GA. 

Omnicom fared higher but still noted a pinch stemming from tech and telecom, including in its precision marketing segment. Revenue got here in under analyst expectations, though some pullbacks were offset by higher activity from food and beverage, pharma and automotive clients. 

Publicis upheld a winning streak that has been powered by investments and digital- and data-driven marketing units like Epsilon and Publicis Sapient. The company earlier this yr became the second-largest holding group by revenue. In an announcement, CEO Arthur Sadoun attributed the impressive Q2 showing to a “unique revenue mix” and latest business wins. Publicis was awarded a significant piece of the Pfizer business in May following one of the yr’s most closely watched reviews, while creative duties got to IPG. 

Even as tech stands as a sore spot for some agencies, many are also looking to the sector — namely the burgeoning field of generative AI — as a way to speed up momentum. Omnicom has been aggressive in striking partnerships across the technology, recently inking deals with Google Marketing Cloud and Adobe’s Firefly. The company is positioning these moves as strengthening its Omni data platform and believes generative AI will improve each productivity and organic growth. 

“While the balance of the yr will proceed to see economic uncertainty, we’re entering a dynamic and exciting latest era for our company,” said Omnicom CEO John Wren in a press statement. “Omnicom has secured leading positions in generative AI technologies and partnerships to deliver on our promise to achieve the most effective outcomes for our clients and increase the operational efficiency of our company.”

WPP, which reports its earnings next month, in May teamed with Nvidia to develop a content engine powered by generative AI. 

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